Resolve Research
Resolve Projections wnba · playoffs
2026 season · top-8 seeds

wnba 2026 projected playoffs

Projected bracket by Monte-Carlo mean-win seeding (single 15-team table, top-8 make it, no conferences). First-round best-of-3 series odds computed from current team Elo with the 2-1-1 host split (higher seed hosts games 1 & 3, HFA = 65 Elo). Semis / finals / title advancement from a 30,000-path playoff Monte-Carlo.

Playoffs begin Sept 17. Seeds and matchups will shift as the regular season plays out — this is the projected picture from today's ratings.

projected first round
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round-by-round advancement
Resolve WNBA projected playoff advancement (top-8 seeds; bubble teams below).
seed team proj wins P(POs) P(semis) P(finals) P(title)
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